SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Backa Topola win with a probability of 54.5%. A win for FC Noah had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Backa Topola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.63%). The likeliest FC Noah win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Backa Topola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Backa Topola | Draw | FC Noah |
54.5% ( 0.77) | 20.99% ( 0.54) | 24.51% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -3.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.05% ( -4.01) | 32.94% ( 4.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.34% ( -4.76) | 54.66% ( 4.77) |
| Backa Topola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.72% ( -1.11) | 12.28% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.97% ( -2.39) | 38.03% ( 2.39) |
| FC Noah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -3.09) | 25.75% ( 3.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -4.38) | 60.69% ( 4.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Backa Topola | Draw | FC Noah |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.88)1-0 @ 6.63% ( 1.09)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.42)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.34)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.27)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.62% Total : 54.5% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.63)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
