SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Noah had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a FC Noah win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | FC Noah |
67.31% ( 0.07) | 18.35% ( -0.03) | 14.34% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( 0.07) | 36.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.08) | 58.91% ( -0.08) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( 0.04) | 10.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.86% ( 0.09) | 33.14% ( -0.09) |
| FC Noah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -0) | 38.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( -0) | 74.94% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | FC Noah |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 67.31% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.34% |
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