Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Mestsky stadion - Vitkovice Arena
Ewerton (15'), Boula (22'), Buchta (26'), Prekop (62'), Klima (82' pen.)
Sin (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tarakhchyan (90+4')
Aghasaryan (29'), Simonyan (81')
Margaryan (78')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Banik Ostrava and Urartu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banik Ostrava win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Urartu had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banik Ostrava win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Urartu win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banik Ostrava would win this match.
| Result |
| Banik Ostrava | Draw | Urartu |
50.2% ( -0) | 23.31% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.14) |
| 57.85% ( 0.17) | 42.15% ( -0.17) |
| 35.44% ( 0.17) | 64.56% ( -0.17) |
| 83.08% ( 0.06) | 16.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.11) | 46.98% ( -0.11) |
| 70.8% ( 0.11) | 29.21% ( -0.11) |
