SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Maribor had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Maribor win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
17.51% ( -0.8) | 21.63% ( 0.1) | 60.85% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( -1.74) | 45.59% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( -1.68) | 67.91% ( 1.68) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( -1.96) | 39.58% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.73% ( -1.86) | 76.27% ( 1.86) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.35) | 14.51% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( -0.68) | 42.51% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.51% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.53)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.84% |
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