Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maribor had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Maribor win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
