SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.99%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
78.99% ( -0.04) | 12.95% ( 0.02) | 8.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.06) | 28.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.1% ( -0.07) | 48.9% ( 0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.4% ( -0.02) | 5.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.25% ( -0.05) | 21.76% ( 0.05) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0) | 43.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% ( -0) | 79.33% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 4.88% Total : 78.99% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.16% Total : 12.95% | 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 8.06% |
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