SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Fenerbahce |
23.68% ( -1.95) | 25.74% ( -0.34) | 50.58% ( 2.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( -0.19) | 54.67% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( -0.16) | 75.99% ( 0.16) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -1.85) | 38.34% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -1.82) | 75.09% ( 1.82) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.93) | 21.65% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 1.41) | 54.78% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.68% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.6)1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.58% |
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