SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gzira United win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gzira United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gzira United | Draw | Glentoran |
43.51% ( 0.17) | 24.75% ( -0.03) | 31.74% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( 0.07) | 45.62% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.07) | 67.94% ( -0.06) |
| Gzira United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( 0.11) | 21.03% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( 0.16) | 53.82% ( -0.16) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.05) | 27.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( -0.07) | 62.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gzira United | Draw | Glentoran |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.74% |
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