Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
