SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
45.11% ( -0.5) | 26.09% ( 0.17) | 28.81% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.49) | 52.58% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -0.42) | 74.24% ( 0.43) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.44) | 23.24% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( -0.66) | 57.15% ( 0.66) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( -0.01) | 32.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( -0.01) | 69.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.81% |
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