Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
Result | ||
Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
56.39% ( 0.16) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( -0.14) | 50.92% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.13) | 72.8% ( 0.13) |
Glentoran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( 0.01) | 17.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% ( 0.01) | 48.66% ( -0.01) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% ( -0.25) | 40.03% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( -0.23) | 76.68% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.87% |
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