SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lech Poznan |
43.05% ( 0.04) | 25.06% ( -0) | 31.9% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0) | 46.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0) | 69.16% ( 0.01) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( 0.02) | 21.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( 0.03) | 54.98% ( -0.02) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.02) | 27.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( -0.03) | 63.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.9% |
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