SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
41.19% ( 0) | 23.64% ( 0) | 35.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( -0.02) | 39.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( -0.02) | 61.69% ( 0.02) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0.01) | 19.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( -0.01) | 51.29% ( 0.02) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( -0.01) | 22.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( -0.02) | 55.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.27% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.18% |
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