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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
L

Be'er Sheva
3 - 1
Lugano

Vitor (51'), Hajdari (61' og.), Hatuel (85')
Bareiro (18'), Hatuel (80'), Abd Elhamed (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doumbia (73' pen.)
Mahmoud (21'), Arigoni (25'), Maccoppi (65'), Hajdari (90+2')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLugano
45.11% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 23.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 31.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.13% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.4% (0.17 0.17)40.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.02% (0.176 0.18)62.98% (-0.175 -0.17)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.085999999999999 0.09)18.29% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (0.147 0.15)49.36% (-0.148 -0.15)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.075999999999993 0.08)25.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (0.108 0.11)59.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 45.11%
    Lugano 31.26%
    Draw 23.62%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 45.11%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-1 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 2-1 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anorthosis 3-1 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 0-0 Anorthosis
Thursday, August 19 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Be'er Sheva 4-0 Slask Wroclaw
Thursday, August 12 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-4 Lugano
Sunday, July 31 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, July 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-3 Sion
Sunday, July 17 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-4 Inter Milan
Tuesday, July 12 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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