Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Basel | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
Result | ||
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
45.11% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.04) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% ( 0.17) | 40.59% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% ( 0.18) | 62.98% ( -0.17) |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( 0.09) | 18.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% ( 0.15) | 49.36% ( -0.15) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( 0.08) | 25.18% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% ( 0.11) | 59.91% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.26% |
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