SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.78%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
39.1% ( 0.02) | 22.04% ( 0.01) | 38.86% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 69.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.08) | 30.81% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.84% ( -0.09) | 52.15% ( 0.09) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( -0.03) | 16.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( -0.05) | 46.64% ( 0.05) |
| F91 Dudelange Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( -0.05) | 16.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% ( -0.08) | 46.81% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 38.86% |
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