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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Austria Vienna |
31.36% ( 0.16) | 23.95% ( 0.03) | 44.69% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.07) | 42.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.07) | 64.5% ( 0.07) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.06) | 25.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( 0.09) | 60.83% ( -0.09) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -0.11) | 19.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( -0.18) | 50.66% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Austria Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 44.69% |
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