SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Ilves |
32.63% ( -0.22) | 26.09% ( 0.13) | 41.29% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.6) | 51.13% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.53) | 72.98% ( 0.53) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.44) | 29.48% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.54) | 65.49% ( 0.55) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( -0.22) | 24.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( -0.31) | 58.93% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.28% |
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