SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
35.27% ( -0.24) | 24.41% ( -0.12) | 40.32% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.51) | 43.06% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.5) | 65.46% ( -0.5) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( 0.1) | 24.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( 0.14) | 58.28% ( -0.15) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.39) | 21.42% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( 0.6) | 54.43% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.32% |
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