Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
Result | ||
Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
47.67% (![]() | 23.43% (![]() | 28.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.01% (![]() | 40.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.62% (![]() | 63.38% (![]() |
Ilves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% (![]() | 17.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.11% (![]() | 47.89% (![]() |
Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% (![]() | 26.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% (![]() | 62.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
2-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 3.93% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 10.75% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.9% |
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