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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Red Star
5 - 0
Kairat

Katai (9', 42'), Diony (21'), Ivanic (49'), Falco (56')
Gobeljic (50'), Lazetic (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hovhannisyan (82'), Alip (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawKairat
50.27%26.11%23.61%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91%56.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84%77.16%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62%22.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12%55.87%
Kairat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81%39.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09%75.9%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 50.27%
    Kairat 23.61%
    Draw 26.11%
Red Star BelgradeDrawKairat
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.61%

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