Kairat
2 - 1
Red Star

(Red Star Belgrade win 6-2 on aggregate)

Kante (24'), Bagnack (79')
Shushenachev (42'), Buranchiev (51'), Bagnack (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mikanovic (57' og.)
Katai (20')

Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between Kairat and Red Star Belgrade.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Kairat win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Kairat	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
35.22%	25.08%	39.7%

Both teams to score 57.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.84%

46.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54%

68.45%

Kairat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5%

25.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66%

60.33%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92%

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08%

56.91%

Score Analysis

Kairat 35.22%

Red Star Belgrade 39.7%

Draw 25.08%

Kairat	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	1-2 @ 8.64% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.7%