Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest KF Ballkani win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.