Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Larne
40.8% ( 0.03)	27.66% ( -0.12)	31.53% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

0.46)

57.59% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.64% (

0.36)

78.36% (

-0.36)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.24)

27.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.3)

63.27% (

-0.3)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

0.3)

33.52% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

0.33)

70.16% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 40.8%

Larne 31.53%

Draw 27.66%

Crusaders	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.53%