SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
40.8% ( 0.03) | 27.66% ( -0.12) | 31.53% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.41% ( 0.46) | 57.59% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( 0.36) | 78.36% ( -0.36) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.24) | 27.71% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( 0.3) | 63.27% ( -0.3) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.3) | 33.52% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.33) | 70.16% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.53% |
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