SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for HJK Helsinki.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Larne |
58.14% ( 0.04) | 22.54% ( -0.04) | 19.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.15) | 46.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( 0.14) | 68.98% ( -0.14) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.06) | 15.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.11% ( 0.12) | 44.89% ( -0.13) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.08) | 38.2% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( 0.07) | 74.96% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.31% |
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