Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Larne had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
