Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.