Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
