SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Lech Poznan |
40.26% ( 0.22) | 28.04% ( 0.04) | 31.7% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( -0.19) | 58.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.14) | 79.39% ( 0.15) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.04) | 28.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( 0.04) | 64.44% ( -0.04) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.28) | 34.09% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.31) | 70.77% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.7% |
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