SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sion | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Lugano | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Basel | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 3-1 (5.49%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
44.85% ( -0.06) | 22.08% ( 0.03) | 33.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.81% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.15) | 32.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.2% ( -0.17) | 53.8% ( 0.17) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( -0.08) | 15.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( -0.14) | 43.63% ( 0.14) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.06) | 20.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( -0.09) | 52.4% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.06% |
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