SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Lech Poznan |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.07) | 39.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( 0.32) | 48.91% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( 0.29) | 71% ( -0.29) |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.17) | 26.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( 0.23) | 62.12% ( -0.23) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.17) | 24.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( 0.23) | 59.1% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.14% |
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