SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Austria Vienna |
40.16% ( -0.04) | 27.69% ( 0.02) | 32.15% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.07) | 57.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% ( -0.05) | 78.33% ( 0.06) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.06) | 28.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( -0.07) | 63.7% ( 0.08) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.02) | 33.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.02) | 69.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Austria Vienna |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.15% |
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