With Villarreal already through to the knockout rounds as group winners, the pressure is on Hapoel Be'er Sheva as they seek to claim their first three points in Group C and keep their hopes of progression alive.
The Yellow Submarine were tested by their Israeli counterparts in the reverse fixture but they managed to hold on for a victory, and we can see the Spanish side coming away with maximum points once again on Thursday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.02) 
