SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
36.64% ( 0.35) | 26.25% ( 0.11) | 37.11% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( -0.46) | 51.25% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.4) | 73.08% ( 0.4) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.01) | 27.07% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.01) | 62.44% ( 0.01) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.48) | 26.79% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -0.63) | 62.08% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.11% |
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