SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Lille |
29.12% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( 0.01) | 46.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.02) | 43.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( -0.02) | 65.75% ( 0.02) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( -0) | 63.57% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.02) | 18.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( -0.04) | 49.98% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.12% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.9% |
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