SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
64.71% ( 0.14) | 18.79% ( -0.22) | 16.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.75% ( 1.23) | 34.25% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.85% ( 1.38) | 56.15% ( -1.38) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( 0.38) | 9.99% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.99% ( 0.87) | 33.01% ( -0.87) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.86) | 33.88% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( 0.92) | 70.55% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.27)1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.34% Total : 64.71% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 16.49% |
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