SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
61.17% ( 0.23) | 20.35% ( 0.11) | 18.48% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -1.08) | 38.12% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( -1.16) | 60.39% ( 1.16) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.95% ( -0.26) | 12.05% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.46% ( -0.57) | 37.54% ( 0.58) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.99) | 34.05% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( -1.09) | 70.74% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 4.05% Total : 61.17% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.48% |
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