Having already lost a couple of league games in uncharacteristic fashion, Ludogorets look set to suffer another defeat when Ajax visit Huvepharma Arena, although Thursday's clash will likely be a tight affair as both sides aim to remain in the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Ajax
49.72%	21.04%	29.24%

Both teams to score 69.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.98%

29.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.99%

50%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67%

12.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87%

38.13%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37%

20.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.81%

53.19%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 49.72%

Ajax 29.24%

Draw 21.04%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 5.57% 1-0 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-2 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.35% 4-3 @ 1.33% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.72%	1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 6.94% 3-3 @ 2.55% 0-0 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 6.63% 0-1 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.24%