Ludogorets boast a strong home record heading into Wednesday's game, winning each of their last four games on Bulgarian turf by an aggregate score of 12-0, and although Olimpija Ljubljana will fancy their chances of claiming a positive away result, we believe that the hosts will come out on top to claim a first-leg advantage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
