SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Zeljeznicar win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Zeljeznicar |
40.27% ( -0.02) | 26.43% ( 0) | 33.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( -0.03) | 52.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( -0.03) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.02) | 25.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( -0.03) | 60.44% ( 0.03) |
| Zeljeznicar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.01) | 65.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Zeljeznicar |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
