SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zeljeznicar | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
45.65% ( 0.1) | 26.68% ( -0.04) | 27.67% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.09) | 55.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 0.07) | 76.65% ( -0.08) |
| Zeljeznicar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.09) | 24.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.13) | 58.58% ( -0.13) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.01) | 35.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( -0) | 72.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zeljeznicar | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.67% |
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