SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
33.88% ( 0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.02) | 41.6% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.12) | 43.85% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( 0.12) | 66.23% ( -0.11) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.07) | 25.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( 0.1) | 59.9% ( -0.1) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.05) | 21.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( 0.08) | 54.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.88% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.6% |
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