SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Astana had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pafos FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pafos FC | Draw | Astana |
57.09% ( 0.11) | 23.33% ( -0.02) | 19.58% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.05) | 49.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.04) | 71.64% ( 0.04) |
| Pafos FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0.02) | 17.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( 0.04) | 47.4% ( -0.04) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.41% ( -0.13) | 39.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( -0.12) | 76.28% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pafos FC | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 19.58% |
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