SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pafos FC | Draw | Heidenheim |
48.02% ( 0.04) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 28.65% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% ( 0.03) | 40.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.03) | 63.09% ( -0.03) |
| Pafos FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( 0.02) | 17.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% ( 0.05) | 47.47% ( -0.05) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.01) | 26.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -0.01) | 62.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pafos FC | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.65% |
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