SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Osijek | 12 | 6.00 | Bukvic |
| 2 | Rijeka | 4 | 4.00 | Jankovic |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2.00 | Livaja |
| 4 | Slaven Koprivnica | 2 | 1.00 | Crnac |
| 5 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1.00 | Petkovic |
| 6 | Gorica | 1 | 1.00 | Vujnovic |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 1.00 | Erceg |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 1.00 | Bubanja |
| 9 | Varazdin | 1 | 1.00 | Brodic |
| 10 | Rudeš | 0 | 0.00 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Astana had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
56.84% ( 0.02) | 23.14% | 20.02% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.01) | 48.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.01) | 70.43% ( 0.02) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( 0) | 16.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% ( 0) | 46.71% |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.02) | 38.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.02) | 75.11% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.02% |
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