SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Astana had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Astana win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Draw | Astana |
42.84% ( 0.16) | 26.26% ( -0.08) | 30.91% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.28) | 52.36% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0.24) | 74.04% ( -0.24) |
| Dinamo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.21) | 24.24% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 0.29) | 58.6% ( -0.28) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.09) | 31.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( 0.1) | 67.62% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
