Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Randers had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.