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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
P

AZ
0 - 3
PSV


Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
39.29%25.91%34.8%
Both teams to score 54.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07%49.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08%71.91%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37%59.63%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96%63.04%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 39.29%
    PSV Eindhoven 34.8%
    Draw 25.91%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.29%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.8%

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