Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.