Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
52.76% | 23.76% | 23.47% |
Both teams to score 54.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.06% | 46.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.81% | 69.18% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% | 17.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% | 48.43% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% | 34.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.05% | 70.94% |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.75% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.47% |
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