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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 16, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
HA

AZ
5 - 0
Heracles

Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
69.21%18.08%12.71%
Both teams to score 51.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23%61.77%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68%10.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.25%33.75%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.3%78.69%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 69.2%
    Heracles 12.71%
    Draw 18.08%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-0 @ 11.25%
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 4.84%
4-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-0 @ 2.2%
5-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 69.2%
1-1 @ 8.53%
0-0 @ 4.36%
2-2 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.08%
0-1 @ 3.75%
1-2 @ 3.67%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 12.71%

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