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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
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R

Crusaders
2 - 2
Rosenborg

Lowry (11'), Dahl Reitan (74' og.)
Joe Burns (88'), Anderson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Holse (30'), Saeter (42' pen.)
Vaananen (85')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Haka
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, July 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawRosenborg
24.03% (0.064 0.06) 22.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 53.33% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.38% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.73% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.067 0.07)66.99% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)44.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 24.03%
    Rosenborg 53.33%
    Draw 22.63%
CrusadersDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 24.03%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Haka
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Haka 2-2 Crusaders
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-3 Crusaders
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, July 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 9 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 0-3 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 2-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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